TBATS_FORECAST
TBATS is an advanced time series forecasting method designed to handle:
✅ Multiple seasonalities (e.g., daily, weekly, yearly)
✅ Non-stationary trends (gradual shifts over time)
✅ Box-Cox transformations (to stabilize variance)
✅ Autoregressive components (short-term dependencies)
✅ Exponential smoothing (ETS) (trend & seasonality modeling)
TBATS is particularly useful for time series data with complex and irregular seasonal patterns, such as sales with daily & weekly trends
TBATS stands for:
- T: Trigonometric seasonal components (for complex seasonality)
- B: Box-Cox transformation (for variance stabilization)
- A: ARMA errors (to capture short-term autocorrelation)
- T: Trend modeling (additive or damped)
- S: Seasonal components (multiple periodicities)
TBATS automatically detects multiple seasonal patterns and selects the best model.